Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.027044 0.028995 0.031026 0.033303 0.035787 0.038417 0.041419
2025-06-29 0.023490 0.026220 0.029206 0.032726 0.036778 0.041311 0.046791
2025-07-06 0.021587 0.024844 0.028543 0.033080 0.038526 0.044894 0.052966
2025-07-13 0.019991 0.023574 0.027767 0.033076 0.039675 0.047680 0.058240
2025-07-20 0.018908 0.022768 0.027403 0.033439 0.041174 0.050873 0.064138
2025-07-27 0.017757 0.021763 0.026682 0.033242 0.041876 0.053016 0.068751
2025-08-03 0.016764 0.020872 0.026015 0.033023 0.042472 0.054989 0.073203
2025-08-10 0.015906 0.020087 0.025416 0.032821 0.043031 0.056891 0.077630
2025-08-17 0.015176 0.019418 0.024915 0.032696 0.043648 0.058866 0.082254
2025-08-24 0.014397 0.018637 0.024213 0.032236 0.043743 0.060072 0.085789
2025-08-31 0.013646 0.017853 0.023459 0.031647 0.043598 0.060889 0.088752
2025-09-07 0.013066 0.017270 0.022947 0.031362 0.043856 0.062288 0.092678
2025-09-14 0.012527 0.016725 0.022466 0.031102 0.044142 0.063756 0.096847
2025-09-21 0.011936 0.016081 0.021815 0.030554 0.043955 0.064471 0.099829
2025-09-28 0.011655 0.015861 0.021756 0.030875 0.045103 0.067330 0.106582
2025-10-05 0.011298 0.015516 0.021496 0.030870 0.045733 0.069383 0.112102
2025-10-12 0.011061 0.015332 0.021461 0.031204 0.046906 0.072382 0.119504
2025-10-19 0.010699 0.014949 0.021110 0.031023 0.047230 0.073971 0.124480
2025-10-26 0.010353 0.014577 0.020760 0.030822 0.047501 0.075476 0.129402
2025-11-02 0.010033 0.014229 0.020431 0.030636 0.047782 0.077000 0.134468
2025-11-09 0.009748 0.013925 0.020155 0.030521 0.048168 0.078724 0.140046
2025-11-16 0.009405 0.013518 0.019705 0.030097 0.047999 0.079434 0.143663
2025-11-23 0.009052 0.013085 0.019198 0.029556 0.047593 0.079683 0.146355